Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Highlights: NDA Projected to Retain Power with 145+ Seats; Prashant Kishore Factor Shakes Opposition – Zoom Chronicle Report

Patna, November 12 (Zoom Chronicle News Report):
The Bihar Assembly Election 2025 has concluded, and the exit polls paint a decisive picture of the state’s political mood. According to an aggregate of nine major exit polls, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) — comprising the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), Janata Dal (United), and Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) led by Chirag Paswan — is projected to win over 145 seats in the 243-member Bihar Assembly.

The Opposition Mahagathbandhan, led by RJD’s Tejashwi Yadav, Congress, and Left parties, appears to be trailing far behind, with predictions ranging between 98 to 110 seats, indicating a strong anti-incumbency resistance that failed to consolidate.

🔹 NDA Maintains Lead Despite Challenges

The BJP-JDU-Chirag Paswan alliance seems to have effectively managed caste equations, welfare messaging, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popularity to maintain its dominance. The Nitish Kumar-led JD(U), despite facing criticism over unemployment and infrastructure issues, appears to have benefited from BJP’s strong urban and youth support base.

Political analysts suggest that the Chirag Paswan factor — once seen as a vote-splitter — turned into an advantage for the NDA in crucial constituencies, particularly in central and western Bihar.

🔹 Prashant Kishore Factor Shakes Up the Equation

The Prashant Kishore-led Jan Suraaj movement, contesting its first assembly polls, has reportedly made a visible impact in several regions, including Champaran, Saran, and Muzaffarpur. While Kishore’s party may not win many seats, analysts believe it could influence vote shares and reshape Bihar’s political narrative ahead of the 2029 Lok Sabha elections.

🔹 Exit Poll Trends Summary

• NDA (BJP+JD(U)+LJP): 130-145 seats
• Mahagathbandhan (RJD+INC+Left): 98-110 seats
• Others (Including Jan Suraaj, AIMIM, Independents): 2-7 seats

If these projections hold true, Nitish Kumar is likely to return as Chief Minister for another term, backed by the BJP’s national support.

🔹 Final Verdict on Counting Day

The final results will be declared on November 15, 2025, when Bihar’s electorate will officially decide whether the NDA maintains its stronghold or if a surprise awaits in the counting booths.